PGA Championship 2026 odds, picks, predictions, favorites: Expert fading Ludvig Aberg at Aronimink Golf Club

May 13, 2026 - 20:37

As the golf world turns its attention to Aronimink Golf Club for the 2026 PGA Championship, oddsmakers have already posted their opening numbers for the year's second major. However, one prominent name near the top of the board is drawing sharp skepticism from betting experts.

Golf analyst David Bearman has released his initial predictions for the event, and his biggest surprise is a firm fade on rising star Ludvig Aberg. Despite Aberg's impressive consistency and power game, Bearman believes the layout at Aronimink presents specific challenges that could neutralize the young Swede's strengths. The course demands precision on approach shots into firm, undulating greens, and Bearman notes that Aberg's scrambling stats in pressure-packed major settings remain a question mark.

Instead, Bearman is targeting a mix of veteran ball-strikers and long-shot sleepers who fit the classical Pennsylvania parkland style. He points to players with proven major pedigree and strong iron play as the core of his betting card. The key, he argues, is identifying golfers who can control trajectory and spin into Aronimink's tricky bentgrass surfaces.

Bearman also highlights several sleeper picks priced at long odds, including a few players who have quietly posted top-10 finishes in recent majors but remain undervalued by the public market. He advises bettors to focus on recent form rather than season-long statistics, as Aronimink historically rewards players who arrive sharp with their short game.

With the championship still months away, the early betting board offers value for those willing to look past the obvious favorites.